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Analyst

Tomás Reyes

@treyes · Americas desk · Class of 2026

Americas desk. Electoral integrity, migration pressure, and state capacity in the Andes and Central America.

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Published work(1)

VEN · AMERICASElevated

Venezuela: managed consolidation drives a renewed migration wave

Post-election consolidation without meaningful liberalization is the base case. The near-term regional risk is a renewed outward migration wave straining Colombian and Brazilian border capacity.

By Tomás Reyes3 Jul 2026